%0 Conference Proceedings
%T Modeling for Policy Formulation: Causal Mapping, Scenario Generation, and Decision Evaluation
%+ Stockholm University
%+ Mid Sweden University
%A Larsson, Aron
%A Ibrahim, Osama
%Z Part 4: Policy Formulation and Modelling
%< avec comité de lecture
%( Lecture Notes in Computer Science
%B 7th International Conference on Electronic Participation (ePart)
%C Thessaloniki, Greece
%3 Electronic Participation
%V LNCS-9249
%P 135-146
%8 2015-08-30
%D 2015
%R 10.1007/978-3-319-22500-5_11
%K Policy analysis
%K Impact assessment
%K Policy modelling
%K Problem structuring
%K Dynamic simulation
%K Causal mapping
%K Scenario planning
%K Decision analysis
%Z Computer Science [cs]
%Z Humanities and Social Sciences/Library and information sciencesConference papers
%X In this paper we present a work process with associated operational research modeling and analysis tools for the policy formulation stage of the Lindblom policy cycle process model. The approach exploits the use of causal maps for problem structuring and scenario generation of policy options together with decision analysis for evaluating generated scenarios taking preferences of decision makers and stakeholders into account. The benefits of interest when exploiting this integrated modeling approach is to enable for; (i) problem structuring and facilitating understanding and communication of a complex policy problem, (ii) simulation of policy consequences and identification of a smaller set of policy options from a possible very large set of possible options, and (iii) structured decision evaluation of the generated alternative policy options.
%G English
%Z TC 8
%Z WG 8.5
%2 https://inria.hal.science/hal-01587633/document
%2 https://inria.hal.science/hal-01587633/file/346775_1_En_11_Chapter.pdf
%L hal-01587633
%U https://inria.hal.science/hal-01587633
%~ SHS
%~ IFIP-LNCS
%~ IFIP
%~ IFIP-TC
%~ IFIP-TC8
%~ IFIP-EPART
%~ IFIP-WG8-5
%~ IFIP-LNCS-9249